Investigating the policy cycle of population increase in the Islamic Republic of Iran (focusing on the fourth period of population policies)

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 ferdowsi university of mashhad

2 Master of Political Science, Faculty of Law and Political Science, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad - Iran

10.22034/scs.2023.388086.1418

Abstract

Population is one of the components of the national power of any country, and the optimal population size and policies to achieve it are always the concerns of governments. In recent years, due to changing trends and fertility patterns, population decline has become one of Iran's major issues. In this regard and in response to the possible consequences of a sharp decrease in the fertility rate, the statesmen and policy makers of the society have been considering population policies since the last decade of the 80s. This research aims to describe the different stages of this policy and evaluate the goals and tools of this policy by using systemic theory in response to the question of how the policy cycle of population increase in Iran. It seems that the youth plan of the population still does not have priority to enter the system due to the accumulation of issues in the economic, social and environmental fields in the Islamic Republic. Moreover, the applied incentive and punishment policies and tools will not be beneficial due to their inadequacy, inefficiency and violation of citizen's rights.

Keywords

Main Subjects


References
Birkland, T. A. (2014). An Introduction to the Policy Process: Theories, Concepts and Models of Public Policy Making. Routledge.
Darani, K., & Salehi, K. (2008). Evaluation of Technical Colleges Using the CIPP Model for Proposing a Framework to Improve the Quality of Technical Colleges: A Case Study of Region 2 Technical Colleges in Tehran. Journal of Psychology and Educational Sciences,143-166. (In Persian)
Demeny, P. (2003). "Policy Population." In M. A. R. Concepts to Introduction An: Population. Encyclopedia of New York.
Dye, T. R. (1995). Understanding Public Policy, Eighth Edition. New Jersey: Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs.
Ecological Footprint Atlas. (2010). Global Footprint Network. http://www.footprintnetwork.org
Ewing, B., Reed, A., Galli, A., Kitzes, J., & Wackernagel, M. (2010). "Calculation Methodology for the National Footprint Accounts, Edition." Oakland: Global Footprint Network.
Fathi, E (2016). "Analysis of the Trend of Changes in the Structure and Composition of the Country's Population and Its Future up to the Horizon of 2051 SH Based on the Results of the General Population and Housing Census," Published by: Statistical Center of Iran. (In Persian)
Fathi, E (2020). "Trend of Fertility in Iran, from 2017 to 2020," available at:https://www.amar.org.ir. (In Persian)
Ghamami, M. M., Mohajeri, M., Javid, M. J., & Hekmatnia, M. (2019). Assessment of Legislation on Population Policies and Presentation of Desirable Indicators. Strategic Studies of Women, 86,31-58. (In Persian)
Ghamami, S. M. M., & Azizi, H. (2014). Necessities of Changing Legal Population Policies in the Islamic Republic of Iran. Strategic Studies of Women (Women's Book), 66, 117-156.. (In Persian)
Gholipour, R., & Ebrahim, G. A. (2010). Public Policy Process in Iran. Tehran: Research Center of the Islamic Consultative Assembly. (In Persian)
Hafeznia, M. R. (1998). An Introduction to Research Methods in Humanities. Tehran: SAMT Publications. (In Persian)
Hodavand, S., Rahimi, R., & Darabi, M. (2014). Validation of the CIPP Evaluation Model in the Performance of Educational Centers: A Case Study of the National Petrochemical Company of Iran. Leadership and Educational Management Research, 1,119-138. (In Persian)
Hosseini, H. (2015). Contradictory Situations and the Issue of Population Policy in Iran. Population Quarterly, 93-94,19-45.(In Persian)
Hosseini, H., & Bagi, B. (2011). Population Changes, Challenges of Family Planning Programs, and Requirements of Population Policy in Iran. Iranian Journal of Sociology, 12,102-121. (In Persian)
Howlett, M., Ramesh, M., & Perl, A. (2009). Studying Public Policy: Policy Cycles and Policy Subsystems (Vol. 3). Oxford: Oxford University.
Islamic Consultative Assembly Research Center (2021). Available at: https://rc.majlis.ir/fa/law/show/1678266.(In Persian)
Kasraei, M. S., Moradkhani, H., & Rezaei, M. (2011). "Foucault: Governmentality, Political Subject, and Political Action." Historical Sociology, No. 2. (In Persian)
Law of the Sixth Five-Year Economic, Social, and Cultural Development Plan of the Islamic Republic of Iran 2017-2021 (2015), available at:https://www.cbi.ir. (In Persian)
Ojagh, S. Z., & Abbasi Shavazi, M. J. (2018). Analysis of Media-Promoted Discourse on Population Increase: Presentation of a Promotional Strategy. Iranian Journal of Sociology, 25,133-164. (In Persian)
Peters, G., & Pierre, J. (2006). Handbook of Public Policy. Sage Publication, p. 6.
Rahimian, F. (2019). Assessment of Population Policy in the Islamic Republic of Iran. Population Quarterly, 105-106,127-151. (In Persian)
Resolution of the Islamic Consultative Assembly (2020). Available at:http://nazarat.shora-rc.ir. (In Persian)
Sadeghi, H., & Saadat, R. (2004). Population Growth, Economic Growth, and Environmental Effects in Iran (An Ali Analysis). Economic Research Quarterly, 64,163-180. (In Persian)
Taghinejad, A., Ghamami, S. M. M., & Azizi, H. (2020). Legal Requirements of Population Policy in the Legal System of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Jurisprudence and Family Law, 72,25-47. (In Persian)
The Office for the Preservation and Publication of the Works of Ayatollah Khamenei (2014). "Announcement of General Population Policies," available at: (https://farsi.khamenei.ir/news-content?id=26440). (In Persian)
The World Bank. (2021). Inflation, consumer prices. https://data.worldbank.org
The World Bank. (2021). Unemployment, youth total (% of total labor force ages 15-24). https://data.worldbank.org.
Wackernagel, M., & Rees, W. (1996). Our Ecological Footprint: Reducing Human Impact on the Earth. Gabriola Island, Canada: New Society Publishers.
Weeks, J. R. (2002). "Population: An Introduction to Concepts and Issues," 8th Edition. USA: Wadsworth.
 
 
 
 
Volume 12, Issue 5 - Serial Number 50
Special issue (family and youth studies)
December 2023
Pages 1-30
  • Receive Date: 02 March 2023
  • Revise Date: 03 April 2023
  • Accept Date: 06 May 2023